REAL POLITIK CONCERNING THE MIDDLE EAST
By
Seamus Muldoon, Himself
Copyright © 1997-2009
All Rights Reserved
Once all my opposition is dead and only my policies are in force without
meaningful opposition, there will be stability. Ayatollah Khomeni said
it best. When I have atomic weapons there will be stability. That is how
Syria has been run. That is how Russia was run until the collapse of the
Communist regime, and how it was run under the Czars before that. That
is how China was run until recently, and it isn’t that far from
totalitarianism even now. That is how Iran is run. That is how
Afghanistan was run under the Taliban. That is how Iraq was run under
Hussein. That was the way of the Third Reich – when all my policies are
in force, there will be stability.
There was never any such
notion as “the consent of the governed” in Europe. True, there was that
skirmish called the French Revolution, but the royal decree was replaced
in not too much time with the French dirigiste attitude. Since attitude
is not a real form of government beyond social issues, the French
government changes frequently, until recently. Maybe it’s settling down
now that they have the overwhelming common problem of dealing with so
many people who live in France who aren’t French or anything even
remotely like French. Nothing galvanizes the French like the aroma of
something unFrench. England’s Magna Carta had a somewhat similar notion,
but it was rather moderate for the reason that the English class system
was never removed. America – our great model of democracy - is the
product of classlessness, but for economics. Class via economics in a
free enterprise society is simply recognition of initiative and genius.
It is more transient than class established by birth. In America,
fortunes rarely endure for more than three generations – “Shirtsleeves
to shirtsleeves in three generations”.
Now we Americans come
along with the notion that what all the absolutist regimes in the Middle
East need is a healthy dose of democracy.
I dare anyone to come up
with an example of any person, company or country that was enjoying
absolute, divine right, totalitarianism to join voluntarily in any
program to dilute their enjoyment of absolute power. It has never
happened, and it will never happen. The only way absolute power is ever
overcome is by all out warfare. My God! Take the little island of Cuba
for example. The United States, ninety miles away, with all its supposed
capability has not been able to topple Castro in the almost 50 years he
has been in power on the island. We have used every bozo tactic and
technique imaginable, all without success. What that shows is that if
you are not willing to go in and take out the regime through main force,
you aren’t going to accomplish it at all. If we did in Iraq then what we
are doing in Iraq now, Saddam Hussein would still be in power. How
stupid can we be?
The most important point
that we are missing is that when we don’t really devastate the enemy,
the enemy thinks it is winning. That enthuses the enemy even more. If we
keep on trying to be politically correct in some ridiculously absurd
political major premise – that the Middle East wants to be democratic –
the enemy will continue to be more and more aggressive. The same may be
said for the recent absurd campaign by the Israelis in Lebanon. Since
they failed to destroy the ability of Hiz B’Allah to wage war, Hiz
B’Allah has now become the most potent political factor in Lebanon.
Hello out there! Are you awake? Pull your head out of your ass!
The more we pretend that
we “care” and wish to inflict the least amount of damage, the more the
enemy thinks we are idiots who can be overcome if they just keep
increasing the pressure.
“Turn the other cheek”
does not mean – and Christ did not intend for it to mean – that we
should stupidly let people slap us around. It means that if you do get
knocked down, you get back up and get back into the fight, even if it
may mean that you get smacked again. The idea that you should just stand
there and get the shit slapped out of you is stupid. Christ is not
stupid. Christ knows that if the “right” does not prevail, no matter how
the loss is incurred, the “wrong” will prevail. And Christ doesn’t want
that. Is that so hard to understand? So we ought to do as Christ
instructed us to do, and put the enemies down as decisively and as
quickly as possible. Onward Christian Soldiers!!!
The role of money –
economic aid – call it what you like – is also greatly misunderstood in
the context of the Middle East. If you do as we are now doing, provide
liquid resources before stability is achieved, it will not hasten the
advent of stability. The resources will simply be ripped off – misused –
misapplied – transferred to someone’s Swiss bank account. Nothing
intended will ever happen as the result of providing liquid resources.
What little percentage of what we are now providing reaches intended
applications is simply a target for the insurrectionists. The target
gets destroyed and the result is exactly what it would have been had we
not provided anything at all. Without stability, if anything could
possibly be accomplished – just for the sake of argument here – it would
cost multiple times what it should – not just your normal political
corruption cost over runs like we have here in America, but many orders
of magnitude over runs. Delivery of materials to any project site
requires armed convoy transport. The materials are then stolen from the
project site. If the site is built/remediated, it is blown up. That too
is the real politik of the Middle East.
If we wait until
stability happens we would not have wasted the money. Then we could make
a more rational decision about providing resources to the kind of
government that is in place once stability occurs. Do you want to know
what is wrong with this approach? What is wrong with it is that it makes
too much fucking good sense! As much as I detest the deviousness of our
so called European “allies”, I must credit them with knowing the
difference between providing resources and promising to provide
resources. A quick review of the status of fulfillment of pledges to
provide aid will show at any given moment in history that the Europeans
are always the first to promise and the last to provide! Et voila!!!
They have so little to teach us. But this one critically important
tactic incentivises the achievement of performance of what is desired
from the intended (?) recipients of the largesse. It is bad enough to
have to give the bastards anything at all, but to give it in advance and
then receive nothing in return is idiotic.
The scenery never changes
unless you are the lead dog. Everyone tires of being behind the lead
dog. They resent that grander perspective that is not available to them,
and they want the lead dog to be hobbled. Therefore, the ranks behind
are always scheming to unsettle the lead dog. Since World War II, we
have been the lead dog for so long that we seem to have lost sight of
that tendency. And with the collapse of Russia as the death threat at
everyone’s throat, our obvious primacy has stuck in the craws of many
nations. That is probably healthy overall, as primacy begets
complacency, and we have become far too complacent already. It is time
we were challenged. It is time that we get some mud on our shoes. And we
have started on that road. We started on it militarily in Viet Nam, and
the French who had just been defeated there were overjoyed at our having
made that mistake in military doctrine. The mistake is that we went to
war without intending to commit the resources to win the war, and then
we started making up stories about what was happening that eventually
came home to roost, a blinking beacon like a big red blemish on the tip
of someone’s nose. And then we didn’t learn from that, because we are
doing the same thing in the Middle East.
And those who would be
the lead dogs if only they could are rubbing their hands in glee at the
ineffectiveness of our delusional military doctrine. When military
doctrine is dictated by politicians who understand the situation,
success happens – World War II. When military doctrine is dictated by
politicians who are really out of touch with the extant military
realities, failure results – Viet Nam and the current situation in the
Middle East.
We have enemies who
thrive on being threatened and then not having the threat brought to
fruition. When we promise to overcome and then don’t overcome, they win.
If we overcome quickly, we do so at far less expense to ourselves – in
lives as in other resources. We are back to World War II again. We must
kill or be killed. We didn’t start spending money to rebuild Germany or
Japan until we had defeated them and received their unconditional
surrender. The result of doing it that way was far better than what we
are experiencing in the Islamic world where we are financing our
enemies’ agendas and making no progress at all. Is that stupid or what?
We seem also not to
appreciate that we are causing our only major ally who might actually
enter a fight on our side if need be to become complacent and
incompetent. Since the Israelis are signing on to this bullshit agenda
of ours, they have let their guard down. That is so bloody obvious to
everyone since they failed to be competent enough to deal with Hiz
B’Allah in Lebanon. They have lulled themselves into believing that,
since the United States is there covering their collective arse, they no
longer have to maintain combat readiness. Now that little scenario has
convinced Hiz B’Allah that they really do not have to fear the Israelis
or the United States, and they are attempting to take over Lebanon.
Everyone in Lebanon is sufficiently afraid of them and of being
assassinated by some pro Syrian apparachik, that there won’t be
effective opposition to Hiz B’Allah in Lebanon and the government
probably will fall.
At least the Israelis now
know that the United States can’t/won’t protect them from their
neighbors. Hopefully that will rouse them from their torpor. One finds
it hard to accept that they are concerned these days more acutely with
whether El Al is willing to serve non kosher food in a pinch and with
whether Jews converted by non orthodox rabbis are really Jews at all in
the sense of Israeli law. If anything is evidence that they are unaware
of the real problems, the decision by the orthodox community to try to
start their own airline just to insure that the food served on the
planes is always kosher represents the frosting on the cake.
One of the things that is
extremely important and that we apparently have no conscious recognition
of is the fact that, when you have managed to alienate most of the
people of an entire region, and they are violently extremist, what you
wish to accomplish is automatically rejected by that majority. And in a
violently tyrannical environment, even those who might harbor some
sympathy for your position are fearful for their lives and for the lives
of their families about any notion that they might speak out on your
behalf. In fact, to make certain that they do not become suspect of
collaboration with you, they will actively go out to oppose you,
notwithstanding their secret desire to see you succeed. Because we don’t
understand that, whenever we say democracy, they hear evil. Whatever we
want to accomplish/share with them becomes evil incarnate.
Any political faction
known to be friendly to our positions is marked for assassination and
has no chance at all of accomplishing any agenda that might be helpful
to us. Accordingly, the USA friendly so called government of Lebanon is
about to be toppled by Hiz B’Allah, and the so-called leadership of the
Falastinian Authority is constantly under actual attack and has no
control over anything outside its office door. Idiotically, they now
call for an early election. That will show that Hamas is the government
that the Falastinian majority will support, because Hamas will willingly
and gleefully kill anyone who they may perceive to be obstructionist of
their agenda – refusal to recognize or accept the continued existence of
Israel. When we identify anyone in the Middle East as friendly to us, we
are actually fingering that person or group for elimination. Harriri and
his friends in Lebanon are being assassinated now. Siniora is living on
borrowed time. In Gaza, if Hamas cannot find you, they will simply shoot
your children, as they did in the instance of the Falastinian Authority
chief of intelligence this month. Mohammed Abbas is also living on
borrowed time. Al Maliki of Iraq is alive simply because he isn’t worth
killing. The Sunnis are better off with him as the totally ineffective
figurehead bozo than they might be with any replacement, even someone
who is Sunni. A Sunni might invite assassination by the Shiites, but a
clown Shiite like Al Maliki is perfect for the Sunni agenda.
That is so obvious from
what is presently and actually happening on the ground in the Middle
East that one wonders why our government does not recognize the obvious.
The reason for that denial of reality is that our government wishes for
a situation that does not exist and for which there is no practical
support, and then pretends that if we simply continue insisting upon
fantasy something positive will result. If any student of international
relations were ever to take such a position in answer to any question on
any examination, the grade would be an F. In the Middle East, anyone who
can oppose us and thrive, like Hamas, Hiz B’Allah, Al Quaeda and Iran,
will win support. If they could not oppose us in military action and
thrive, they would have no support that is effective. By not really
waging war on our opposition, we are strengthening them in their ability
to mount effective opposition.
If we were really waging
war on somebody, the losses would have some rational basis and we could
accept them as necessary sacrifices. But to take casualties for the sake
of this bullshit is without justification.
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